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Which ETFs hold up when the market falls?

Funds that hold up in a sell-off soften a portfolio’s worst stretches and leave money to buy with when prices are low. But protection that worked in one crash did not always work in the next, and most of it costs return when markets rise.

Updated Oct 9, 2026

3
% held up every time

5 held up every time

The S&P 500 has fallen 15% or more 4 times since 2018: 20% in 2018, 34% in 2020, 25% in 2022, 19% in 2025. In its worst one, the typical stock fund fell 125% as much as the index. 5 of 161 funds fell less than half as much every time: TAIL, SHY, GLD, DBMF, MUB. Bond funds held up in 3 of 4 but fell 16% in 2022.

4 sell-offs since 2018Typical stock fund: 125% of the fallS&P 500 +75% over 5 years

In each sell-off

First, the typical fund of each type in its worst sell-off. Select a tile, or any fund in the table, to see its change in each fall.

By type of fund
The typical fund of each type, in its worst sell-off: its fall as a share of the S&P 500’s.
HedgeHedge41%BondsBonds66%IncomeIncome102%US stocksUS stocks113%CommoditiesCommodities121%InternationalInternational123%SectorSector139%ThemeTheme176%

The 23 funds that hold up or cushion

Every fund that fell less than 90% as much as the S&P 500 in each sell-off, of 161 measured, ranked by its worst one. Each sell-off runs from the index’s closing high to its low: Sep–Dec 2018, Feb–Mar 2020, Jan–Oct 2022 and Feb–Apr 2025. Select a column to sort.

FundTypeIn sell-offsWorst share20182020202220255Y return

How to read this page

How it’s measured. Every fall of 15% or more in the S&P 500 since 2018, measured from its closing high to its closing low. Each fund’s change over the same days is taken as a share of the index’s fall, and funds are ranked by their worst sell-off among those they have lived through (at least 3).

Sources. Daily prices from Financial Modeling Prep.

A worst share of 50% means that even in its worst sell-off the fund fell half as much as the S&P 500 over the same days; 0% means it rose in every one. Funds launched after the 2020 crash are left out, and so are cash funds such as BIL, which barely move.

In 2022 stocks and bonds fell together as interest rates rose quickly, so bond funds that cushioned earlier sell-offs did not. Returns are price changes and leave out interest and dividends.

Holding up usually costs something in rising markets: most of the funds that fell least have trailed the S&P 500 over five years.

This page is information, not investment advice. About our data and methods ›

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